PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .299vs RHH xwOBA .265Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 26%Knuckle Curve 17%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 4%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JJ Jim Jarvis LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jim Jarvis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Sean Murphy RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sean Murphy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.