PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 25%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 3%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-20 game page →