PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 37%Sinker 22%Knuckle Curve 17%Changeup 12%Slider 8%Cutter 4%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-22 game page →