PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Sinker 23%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 11%Slider 8%Cutter 4%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MS Myles Straw RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (8% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.