PITCHER MATCHUP

Hunter Brown vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hunter Brown's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hunter Brown's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .296vs RHH xwOBA .266Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%Sinker 25%Knuckle Curve 18%Changeup 11%Slider 9%Cutter 3%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hunter Brown, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.