PITCHER MATCHUP

Hayden Wesneski vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hayden Wesneski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hayden Wesneski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 31%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sinker 15%Cutter 12%Changeup 9%Curveball 3%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hayden Wesneski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Junior Caminero RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RP Richie Palacios LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-13 game page →