PITCHER MATCHUP

Hayden Wesneski vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hayden Wesneski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hayden Wesneski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 31%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sinker 15%Cutter 12%Changeup 9%Curveball 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hayden Wesneski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 691 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .450 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .375
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-08 game page →