PITCHER MATCHUP

Hayden Wesneski vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hayden Wesneski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hayden Wesneski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .332Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%Sweeper 31%Sinker 14%Cutter 12%Changeup 5%Curveball 5%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hayden Wesneski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 TW Taylor Ward RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 593 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-15 game page →