PITCHER MATCHUP

Hayden Wesneski vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hayden Wesneski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hayden Wesneski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 30%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 13%Changeup 9%Curveball 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hayden Wesneski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 587 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 640 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.