PITCHER MATCHUP

Hayden Wesneski vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hayden Wesneski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hayden Wesneski's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .302vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 30%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sinker 15%Cutter 13%Changeup 9%Curveball 3%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hayden Wesneski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-19 game page →