PITCHER MATCHUP
Hayden Wesneski vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hayden Wesneski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Hayden Wesneski's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .305vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 30%Four-Seam Fastball 30%Sinker 16%Cutter 13%Changeup 9%Curveball 3%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hayden Wesneski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .307
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .342
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MS Myles Straw RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.