PITCHER MATCHUP
Hayden Wesneski vs Toronto Blue Jays
How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hayden Wesneski's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Hayden Wesneski's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 30%Four-Seam Fastball 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 13%Changeup 9%Curveball 3%
How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hayden Wesneski, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .308
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JS Josh Smith LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
- Sweeper (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (9% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.