PITCHER MATCHUP

Hagen Smith vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hagen Smith's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hagen Smith's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .267vs RHH xwOBA .263Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 31%Cutter 19%Changeup 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hagen Smith, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.