PITCHER MATCHUP

Hagen Smith vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Hagen Smith's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Hagen Smith's arsenal

Throws LHPvs RHH xwOBA .255Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 53%Slider 31%Cutter 12%Changeup 4%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Hagen Smith, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (53% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-10 game page →