PITCHER MATCHUP
Griffin Jax vs New York Yankees
How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Griffin Jax's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .279Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 34%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 15%Curveball 5%Cutter 4%Unknown 1%
How the New York Yankees's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .313
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1 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
- Sweeper (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 BR Ben Rice LHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Sweeper (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Sweeper (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JC José Caballero RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Sweeper (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
- Sweeper (34% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Sweeper (34% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
- Sweeper (34% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AW Austin Wells LHB .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Sweeper (34% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 AR Amed Rosario RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Amed Rosario
- Sweeper (34% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-06 game page →