PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .270Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 35%Changeup 21%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 15%Curveball 5%Cutter 4%Unknown 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SP Salvador Perez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 IC Isaac Collins SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Michael Massey LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 NL Nick Loftin RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-24 game page →