PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 32%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 17%Curveball 6%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 480 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.