PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 16%Curveball 6%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.