PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 16%Curveball 6%Cutter 4%Unknown 1%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 589 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Josh Smith LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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