PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .319vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 32%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 18%Curveball 6%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 615 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 573 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-26 game page →