PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 31%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 6%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BS Bryson Stott LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Justin Crawford LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DH Derek Hill RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Derek Hill
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 SW Shay Whitcomb RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Shay Whitcomb
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.