PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .327vs RHH xwOBA .271Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 35%Changeup 21%Four-Seam Fastball 20%Sinker 14%Cutter 5%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW James Wood LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JY Jacob Young RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Sweeper (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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