PITCHER MATCHUP
Griffin Jax vs Washington Nationals
How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Griffin Jax's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .328vs RHH xwOBA .289Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 16%Curveball 6%Cutter 4%Unknown 1%
How the Washington Nationals's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .312
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1 JW James Wood LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .432 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JY Jacob Young RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DC Dylan Crews RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.