PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 16%Curveball 6%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 598 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Juan Soto LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .448 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-02 game page →