PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 31%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 6%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .376
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .441 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Sweeper (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.