PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .317vs RHH xwOBA .290Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 31%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 18%Curveball 6%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .227 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sweeper (31% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.