PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .326vs RHH xwOBA .287Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 17%Curveball 6%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 651 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .229 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →