PITCHER MATCHUP

Griffin Jax vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Griffin Jax's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Griffin Jax's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .322vs RHH xwOBA .284Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Sweeper 33%Changeup 22%Four-Seam Fastball 19%Sinker 16%Curveball 6%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Griffin Jax, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.