PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Changeup 20%Curveball 15%Slider 14%Unknown 1%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KC Kody Clemens SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Austin Martin RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RL Royce Lewis RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 TG Tristan Gray LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Gray
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-10 game page →