PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 12%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BB Byron Buxton RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.