PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .324vs RHH xwOBA .345Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Changeup 24%Slider 13%Curveball 11%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.