PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 12%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.