PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .338Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Changeup 24%Slider 13%Curveball 11%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.