PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .335vs RHH xwOBA .353Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 23%Slider 13%Curveball 12%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nick Loftin RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.