PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 12%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .406 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.