PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .325vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 11%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 631 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Adley Rutschman SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 442 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CW Connor Wong RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EW Eli White RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-07 game page →