PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 12%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .255
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .274
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.