PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .366vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 50%Changeup 20%Curveball 15%Slider 14%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NF Nick Fortes RHB .272
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .266
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (50% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (20% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.