PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 23%Curveball 13%Slider 12%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 467 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TW Taylor Walls SH .266
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BW Ben Williamson RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NF Nick Fortes RHB .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.