PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 12%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 563 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.