PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 12%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .365
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.