PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .356vs RHH xwOBA .363Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 23%Curveball 13%Slider 12%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →