PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 52%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 11%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BH Brady House RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (52% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-13 game page →