PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 12%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.