PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 12%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .332
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 639 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-24 game page →