PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .342vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 25%Slider 12%Curveball 12%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 JN Josh Naylor LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CR Cal Raleigh SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 642 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 LR Luke Raley LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CE Colt Emerson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (25% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.