PITCHER MATCHUP

Grayson Rodriguez vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grayson Rodriguez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grayson Rodriguez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .360vs RHH xwOBA .346Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 51%Changeup 22%Curveball 14%Slider 12%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grayson Rodriguez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 574 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 644 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Daniel Susac RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Four-Seam Fastball (51% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (22% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →