PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 10%Sinker 7%Changeup 5%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AW Austin Wells LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.