PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 10%Sinker 7%Changeup 5%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 588 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC José Caballero RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AW Austin Wells LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 SJ Spencer Jones LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Jones
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AJ Aaron Judge RHB .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Aaron Judge
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .437 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .456 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.