PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .336vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 6%Changeup 4%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-09 game page →