PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 32%Curveball 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 6%Changeup 4%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-20 game page →