PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 10%Sinker 7%Changeup 5%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .439 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.