PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 6%Changeup 4%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CN Connor Norby RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →