PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .337vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 11%Sinker 6%Changeup 4%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .302
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 633 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .278
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 EC Evan Carter LHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 CS Corey Seager LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .270
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.