PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 5%Changeup 3%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JJ Josh Jung RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JP Joc Pederson LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Kyle Higashioka RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Higashioka
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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