PITCHER MATCHUP
Grant Holmes vs Texas Rangers
How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Grant Holmes's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 10%Sinker 7%Changeup 5%
How the Texas Rangers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .309
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 JB Jake Burger RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .284
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 EC Evan Carter LHB .284
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 CS Corey Seager LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 JP Joc Pederson LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
- Slider (35% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (10% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.