PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .341vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 10%Sinker 7%Changeup 5%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .233 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.