PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 11%Sinker 6%Changeup 4%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 691 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 444 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-07 game page →