PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 5%Changeup 3%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 LT Leody Taveras SH .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CM Coby Mayo RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →