PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 10%Sinker 7%Changeup 5%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.