PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 11%Sinker 6%Changeup 4%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 553 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.