PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 11%Sinker 6%Changeup 4%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .306
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW James Wood LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BH Brady House RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JT José Tena LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.