PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 5%Changeup 3%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JW James Wood LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DL Daylen Lile LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 458 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JY Jacob Young RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DC Dylan Crews RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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