PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .344vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 10%Sinker 7%Changeup 5%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .387
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .457 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.