PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 5%Changeup 3%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.