PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 11%Sinker 6%Changeup 4%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .388
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .460 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .409 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.