PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 31%Curveball 12%Cutter 11%Sinker 6%Changeup 4%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 388 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.