PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .339vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 5%Changeup 3%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 OC Owen Caissie LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JM Joe Mack LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-04 game page →