PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .340vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 36%Four-Seam Fastball 34%Curveball 14%Cutter 11%Sinker 3%Changeup 3%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Willy Adames RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 559 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LA Luis Arraez LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MC Matt Chapman RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Chapman
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CS Casey Schmitt RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Casey Schmitt
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Daniel Susac RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Slider (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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