PITCHER MATCHUP

Grant Holmes vs San Francisco Giants

How the San Francisco Giants's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Grant Holmes's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Grant Holmes's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .334vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Slider 35%Four-Seam Fastball 33%Curveball 13%Cutter 11%Sinker 5%Changeup 3%

How the San Francisco Giants's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the San Francisco Giants's top-9-by-AB hitters against Grant Holmes, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 RD Rafael Devers LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rafael Devers
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 574 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 646 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 WA Willy Adames RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willy Adames
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 580 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 JH Jung Hoo Lee LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jung Hoo Lee
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BE Bryce Eldridge LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Eldridge
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DG Drew Gilbert LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Gilbert
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DS Daniel Susac RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Susac
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR Jesus Rodriguez RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesus Rodriguez
    • Slider (35% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.