PITCHER MATCHUP

Gordon Graceffo vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gordon Graceffo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gordon Graceffo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .338vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Slider 28%Curveball 15%Changeup 9%Sinker 5%Unknown 2%Cutter 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gordon Graceffo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.