PITCHER MATCHUP

Gordon Graceffo vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gordon Graceffo's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gordon Graceffo's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .346vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Slider 28%Curveball 17%Changeup 8%Sinker 5%Unknown 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gordon Graceffo, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (28% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.