PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 19%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 3%Unknown 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 436 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.