PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 4%Cutter 4%Unknown 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Byron Buxton RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 AM Austin Martin RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.