PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .272vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Slider 16%Knuckle Curve 16%Changeup 10%Cutter 6%Sinker 5%Unknown 3%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JB Josh Bell SH .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brooks Lee SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BB Byron Buxton RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Byron Buxton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 KC Kody Clemens SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (16% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AM Austin Martin RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VC Victor Caratini SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RL Royce Lewis RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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