PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 4%Cutter 4%Unknown 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .223 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.