PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 19%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 3%Unknown 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.