PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 19%Knuckle Curve 15%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JB Javier Báez SH .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Max Clark LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Clark
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.