PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .311Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 16%Knuckle Curve 15%Changeup 9%Cutter 7%Sinker 5%Unknown 4%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SS Spencer Steer RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Steer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 427 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MM Matt McLain RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JB JJ Bleday LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Blake Dunn RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blake Dunn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (9% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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