PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 5%Cutter 4%Unknown 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 574 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.