PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .285vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 19%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 3%Unknown 2%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.