PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 4%Cutter 4%Unknown 2%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.