PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 19%Knuckle Curve 15%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .262
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.