PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 4%Cutter 4%Unknown 2%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 401 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RP Richie Palacios LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.