PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 5%Cutter 5%Unknown 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

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