PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 15%Changeup 12%Sinker 3%Cutter 3%Unknown 2%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.