PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 4%Cutter 4%Unknown 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .420 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-20 game page →