PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 19%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 3%Unknown 2%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .337
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .408
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .464 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .425 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →