PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .292vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 19%Knuckle Curve 15%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .337
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .234 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .406
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .456 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.