PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Slider 19%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 11%Sinker 3%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.