PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .282vs RHH xwOBA .319Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 46%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 4%Cutter 4%Unknown 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 613 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (46% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-08 game page →