PITCHER MATCHUP

Gerrit Cole vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Gerrit Cole's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Gerrit Cole's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .322Seasons 2026–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Slider 18%Knuckle Curve 14%Changeup 12%Sinker 4%Cutter 4%Unknown 2%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Gerrit Cole, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 408 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.