PITCHER MATCHUP

Germán Márquez vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Germán Márquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Germán Márquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .378vs RHH xwOBA .350Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Knuckle Curve 34%Sinker 18%Slider 10%Changeup 3%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Germán Márquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SP Salvador Perez RHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MM Michael Massey LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nick Loftin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-19 game page →