PITCHER MATCHUP

Germán Márquez vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Germán Márquez's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Germán Márquez's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .382vs RHH xwOBA .349Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 36%Knuckle Curve 33%Sinker 18%Slider 10%Changeup 3%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Germán Márquez, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (36% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (33% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.